The Challenge: Rivals II - Informed Speculation (Spoilers)

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April 9, 2013 - 8:53am

The Challenge: Rivals II - Informed Speculation (Spoilers)

This thread will be the place to discuss the current Spring 2013 Challenge. Things that belong in this thread: 1. Social media posts that might hint at elimination. 2. Photographic evidence that would confirm a location, cast member return or departure. 3. Discussion about the above two, citing sources and providing analysis - while remaining on topic. Generic example: [B]Me: [/B] [QUOTE][ATTACH]1787[/ATTACH] Has anyone else seen the above picture on [URL="http://instagram.com/p/XhRfJCidgQ/"]TJ Lavin's instagram? [/URL]That's a very distinctive [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinity_edge_pool"]infinity edge pool.[/URL] The tree to the right center exactly matches the one in [URL="http://vevmo.com/f280/the-challenge-thailand-2013-speculation-spoilers-7718/index101.html#post338867"]pinky's post.[/URL] In that [URL="http://vevmo.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=1675&d=1364574318"]photo[/URL] the time on the phone is 7:10 AM which would be 6:10 PM in Thailand if the phone was set to Eastern Time. Using a popular resort town in Thailand as an example, I did a search for [URL="http://lmgtfy.com/?q=sunset+phuket"]sunset time. [/URL] Based on the position of the sun in the sky, I think it is very plausible that the photos in question are both photos of a sunset in Thailand. Using the distinct pool to our advantage we can utilize google maps imagery to scour all west facing waterfront property in Thailand to find that pool and narrow possible Challenge locations.[/QUOTE] [B]Raj:[/B] [QUOTE=Bacchus]I like the way you think! Here is a map of Thailand: [ATTACH=CONFIG]1788[/ATTACH] I plan to start looking at the west facing properties (Andaman Sea side) from the western Malaysian border, going north. How about you start at the Burmese border and work south? Oh and if anyone else wants to join in, I think it would be best to start in the south east ( Gulf of Thailand ) working north as there are islands/peninsulas, etc that provide west facing ocean views. [/QUOTE] [B]Me:[/B] [QUOTE=Raj]Great! I'm getting started right now Andaman Sea side south from Burma and I'll post my findings here along with screenshots and a detailed summary of the areas I've covered. If we approach this in a logical, forensic manner we'll be able to make quick work of this lead and produce conclusive results! [/quote] Things that don't belong in this thread: [B]1. Just about everything else. [/B] [URL="http://vevmo.com/f266/"]There is an entire forum for random off topic, who is the best, who is my favorite, fantasy cast stuff. [/URL] With the other two threads Challenge threads becoming unreadable, off topic wastelands - there will be zero tolerance for off topic posts.

1001787_Screenshot from 2013-04-09 08:27:52.jpg

April 9, 2013 - 9:36am

(Reply to #1) #2

Lola88

Okay I'm a little confused on how this works with presenting information to molds (which, this, Ive already shared with her) but LeRoy followed Carley sometime last night after 11. I don't have a before pic, so it's basing off my word, but I've been keeping a close eye on everyone's twitter. [ATTACH]1789[/ATTACH] What do you think?

April 9, 2013 - 10:51am

(Reply to #2) #3

theman23

I thought you couldn't be on social media after elimination go look at Jessica and Anastasia page

April 9, 2013 - 11:00am

(Reply to #3) #4

GlueGun

[QUOTE=theman23;340637]I thought you couldn't be on social media after elimination go look at Jessica and Anastasia page[/QUOTE] They are both currently active on Twitter.

April 9, 2013 - 11:15am

(Reply to #4) #5

Snake19

This is just a suggestion to help find elims: Facebook chat now says the last time someone was logged in, so if anyone is friends with a cast member that could be a helpful screen shot and further proof for speculated ppl

April 9, 2013 - 11:22am

(Reply to #5) #6

V1man

[QUOTE=theman23;340637]I thought you couldn't be on social media after elimination go look at Jessica and Anastasia page[/QUOTE] MTV needs them active in order to promote RW: Portland. The same thing happened when St Thomas was airing.

April 9, 2013 - 12:20pm

(Reply to #6) #7

r3iKo

TJ just posted a pic of Iceland on his Instagram. I can't upload a pic because I don't have access to Instagram at school. Wonder why they're in Iceland now.

April 9, 2013 - 12:32pm

(Reply to #7) #8

Bacchus

[QUOTE=r3iKo;340642]TJ just posted a pic of Iceland on his Instagram. I can't upload a pic because I don't have access to Instagram at school. Wonder why they're in Iceland now.[/QUOTE] There is an [URL="http://instagram.com/p/X4ZQbZidvt/"]image of iceland[/URL] on his instagram, most likely from Battle of the Exes and not relevant to the current Challenge.

April 9, 2013 - 12:43pm

(Reply to #8) #9

Snake19

[QUOTE=Bacchus;340643]There is an [URL="http://instagram.com/p/X4ZQbZidvt/"]image of iceland[/URL] on his instagram, most likely from Battle of the Exes and not relevant to the current Challenge.[/QUOTE] Why is he putting up a pic from a place he was at years ago?

April 9, 2013 - 12:49pm

(Reply to #9) #10

Bacchus

[QUOTE=Snake19;340644]Why is he putting up a pic from a place he was at years ago?[/QUOTE] He has a history of posting photos of previous challenge locations. For example, he posted a picture from Rivals while on location during Battle of the Seasons. [ATTACH]1791[/ATTACH] We are intimately familiar with his misguided attempts at subterfuge.

April 9, 2013 - 1:49pm

(Reply to #10) #11

V1man

TJ is often not the sharpest tool in the shed...

April 9, 2013 - 3:31pm

(Reply to #11) #12

Karisa502

Someone asked TJ if he was in Iceland .... his response:

April 9, 2013 - 4:14pm

(Reply to #12) #13

Lola88

To go along with Naomi's Instagram pics of herself post cast departure. I find Heather Marters twitter to be very suspicious too. She is a regular tweeter, I mean she normally tweets a lot and usually everyday. And this is what her current twitter looks like. [ATTACH]1794[/ATTACH] I think it's a bit strange. Could she have possibly replaced Naomi? I know she said she isn't going to do anymore challenges, but it seems kinda weird. She stopped tweeting around the same time as Cara Maria, maybe they flew out together as replacements and the first team wasn't eliminated til last Thursday?

April 9, 2013 - 4:17pm

(Reply to #13) #14

Reily Man

Where is all the info MOLDS? No idea what to speculate about the format of the game? It doesnt matter if your wrong your cast was.

April 9, 2013 - 4:34pm

(Reply to #14) #15

yanee

Some girl tweeted 6 days ago: [ATTACH]1795[/ATTACH] Then she started following her, Leroy & Mike... + Nia posted a Keek yesterday saying he is waiting for Marlon & Joi + Heather stopped writing her blog O.o Anyone? Edit: Sorry 2 days ago :)

April 9, 2013 - 5:52pm

(Reply to #15) #16

Nostalgic

[QUOTE=Lola88;340650] I think it's a bit strange. Could she have possibly replaced Naomi? I know she said she isn't going to do anymore challenges, but it seems kinda weird. She stopped tweeting around the same time as Cara Maria, maybe they flew out together as replacements and the first team wasn't eliminated til last Thursday?[/QUOTE] When did Heather say she was through and why?

April 9, 2013 - 6:08pm

(Reply to #16) #17

theman23

April 9, 2013 - 6:28pm

(Reply to #17) #18

cystic

[QUOTE=theman23;340660]I think he trying to throw people off track[/QUOTE] And doing a pretty horrible job at it. :peach:

April 9, 2013 - 6:40pm

(Reply to #18) #19

Snake19

[QUOTE=cystic;340662]And doing a pretty horrible job at it. :peach:[/QUOTE] Why exactly would the location matter? I would assume if it's a "random format" the location doesn't matter but maybe Thailand gives away it's Ruins 2? Granted that doesn't help how many teams or how those teams were made but is the show title being "Ruins 2" a safe assumption?

April 9, 2013 - 6:50pm

(Reply to #19) #20

ILoveRW

[QUOTE=Snake19;340663]Why exactly would the location matter? I would assume if it's a "random format" the location doesn't matter but maybe Thailand gives away it's Ruins 2? Granted that doesn't help how many teams or how those teams were made but is the show title being "Ruins 2" a safe assumption?[/QUOTE] How many times do you need to be told?

April 9, 2013 - 8:08pm

(Reply to #20) #21

cystic

April 9, 2013 - 8:16pm

(Reply to #21) #22

Snake19

[QUOTE=cystic;340668]He would get in trouble for leaking clues no matter what the location is. The location was not my point.[/QUOTE] I assumed that meant the location was what he was trying to misdirect people from guessing, I gotcha

April 9, 2013 - 8:34pm

(Reply to #22) #23

Nostalgic

[QUOTE=cystic;340668]He would get in trouble for leaking clues no matter what the location is. The location was not my point.[/QUOTE] In T.J.'s defense (as shocking as that is) it's just a location, not necessarily challenge details per se.

April 9, 2013 - 8:51pm

(Reply to #23) #24

cystic

[QUOTE=Snake19;340669]I assumed that meant the location was what he was trying to misdirect people from guessing, I gotcha[/QUOTE] No, you're right. That was his intention. I'm just saying that the location of the show is still compromising information he is not contractually allowed to disclose period, regardless of its importance to the format.

April 10, 2013 - 1:07pm

(Reply to #24) #25

koriekris

I also find it odd that Heather being MIA from Twitter, Instagram, and even her blog. In her blog, she mentioned that she would be writing a RW Portland recap and a "Ask Heather" segment on Friday----both have not been published yet. [URL="http://debtpuppet.com/2013/04/01/bourbon-and-spiders-and-claustrophobia-oh-my/"]From Heather's Blog on 4/1:[/URL] [QUOTE]That being said, I will be back on track this week: Real World Portland recap on Wednesday night and “Ask Heather” segment on Friday. And obviously, some debt management posts along the way! If you have any suggestions for any additional types of posts you would like to see, feel free to send over your thoughts![/QUOTE]

April 10, 2013 - 4:22pm

(Reply to #25) #26

Lola88

[ATTACH]1799[/ATTACH]

April 10, 2013 - 5:01pm

(Reply to #26) #27

Gucci Mane

All of Leroy's tweets are done by iPhone or web. This one was done by an Android phone. Hmmmmmmm.

April 10, 2013 - 5:37pm

(Reply to #27) #28

Lola88

[QUOTE=Gucci Mane;340701]All of Leroy's tweets are done by iPhone or web. This one was done by an Android phone. Hmmmmmmm.[/QUOTE] It would actually strike me as more odd if he was not the one actually tweeting. One tweet in 2.5 and a half weeks and something like that? Especially with march madness going on. Plus a guy team has got to have been eliminated by now.

April 10, 2013 - 6:59pm

(Reply to #28) #29

Snake19

[QUOTE=Lola88;340704]It would actually strike me as more odd if he was not the one actually tweeting. One tweet in 2.5 and a half weeks and something like that? Especially with march madness going on. Plus a guy team has got to have been eliminated by now.[/QUOTE]These all look like solo elims to me, people are tweeting days apart and by themselves. The Jess/Ana thing is probably more of rookies being sent in back to back then they went home together?

April 10, 2013 - 7:21pm

(Reply to #29) #30

JodyBreeze

[QUOTE=Lola88;340704]It would actually strike me as more odd if he was not the one actually tweeting. One tweet in 2.5 and a half weeks and something like that? Especially with march madness going on. Plus a guy team has got to have been eliminated by now.[/QUOTE] [ATTACH]1800[/ATTACH] That tweet was from one of Leroy's best friends On'Dre. So he wasn't back Monday night, and I think his manager Mario Nutall tweeted for him during the filming of BOTE. It's pretty easy to find when he's back in Vegas, because folks Tweet, Facebook, and Instagram pics with him all the time. He'll be an easy one to spot out.

April 10, 2013 - 7:45pm

(Reply to #30) #31

Lola88

Why wouldn't his manager tweet about Michigan if he was trying to throw people off? Trishelle is also pretty recognizable as well...yet no tweets. And eliminations usually happen on Mondays, so...by saying he wasn't home on Monday doesn't mean much.

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The Challenge: Rivals II - Informed Speculation (Spoilers)

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