Vid-cap analysis on [URL="http://www.survivorfever.net/s18_bootsheet.html"]Survivor Fever[/URL] leads them to the conclusion that Jalapao (the red tribe) wins the first immunity. They believe Candace to be most vulnerable but I think that's based more on speculation of character traits than anything backed by much evidence.
Here is a Myspace post from Sydney to Carolina dated December 14, the day after everyone arrived home from filming:
[URL="http://profile.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=user.viewProfile&friendID=313035073"][COLOR=#0000ff]..::{SYDNEY}::..[/COLOR][/URL]
[URL="http://profile.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=user.viewProfile&friendID=313035073"][IMG]http://c1.ac-images.myspacecdn.com/images01/59/s_4899d0acf778c0dea01522f7e578daa4.jpg[/IMG][/URL]
Dec 14 2008 2:16 PM
Good to hear from the one person who knows how I'm feeling right now:) I hope your few days have been filled with lots of love, comfort and laughter. Lets plan a get together in January! Our men need to meet.
Muah:)
It is probable that they bonded in loser lodge and Sydney does not make the jury. Not a concrete fact, but entirely likely
I found this at survivorskills.com
[SIZE=2][quote][SIZE=2]Survivor: Tocantins episode 3 detailed reward challenge spoilers/ speculation [/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]There were two challenges shown in the preview (Spencer is wearing a brownish tank top in the puzzle challenge, unless that guy is actually a mutineed Timbira). And thanks to the new dual exile twist, knowing who's in exile doesn't help much for deciding who wins this challenge, since there's one from each tribe. Way to go, SEG.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]As for the challenge itself, it seems to be your garden-variety blindfold-the-tribe and fill-buckets-with-stuff event. In this case, the stuff appears to be corn (or some other large granular item?), and there's a large hopper with a switch to pull. Presumably, after filling the small buckets, the tribe then has to return (several times) to fill a larger container. All fun and games until someone drowns in a deluge of corn. [/SIZE][/quote]
[via [URL="http://truedorktimes.com/survivor_tocantins/spoilers/e3/rc.htm"]truedorktimes[/URL]][/SIZE]
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[LEFT]Also they think that one of the members of Taj's four person alliance is Brendan. [/LEFT]
[quote][B]A DEVIOUS PLAN IS HATCHED ON EXILE ISLAND, GIVING RISE TO WHAT COULD PROVE TO BE A DEVASTATINGLY POWERFUL ALLIANCE, ON "SURVIVOR TOCANTINS -- THE BRAZILIAN HIGHLANDS," THURSDAY, FEB. 26[/B] [/quote]
[quote]
[/quote]
[LEFT][via [URL="http://www.cbspressexpress.com/div.php/cbs_entertainment/release?id=21035"]cbspressexpress.com[/URL]][/LEFT]
I just read somewhere that Debbie said that Survivor was "the worst 37 days of her life" and that her husband went on a trip while she was on leave at work.
So, if this information is true (apparently it was posted by a "friend" of hers) then she lasts to at least the final 7 (where family comes), with a chance of being closer to the final 4 or 5.
And after hearing all of the speculation about Ben and his weight loss, and now about Debbie, it seems like Timbira would be on the upper hand going into a merge.
37 days would take her up to 4th place most likely. There is also an unsourced spoiler on [URL="http://survivorsucks.com/topic/46211"]Survivor Sucks[/URL] that says Coach takes 5th place (which would be day 36) and since she was kind of shown to be his minion last episode, those 2 things fit together, that she would be easy to take out once Coach is gone.
I'd also keep an eye on the [URL="http://www.truedorktimes.com/survivor_tocantins/survivometer18.htm"]TrueDorkTimes bootsheet[/URL] as they have many times in past seasons gotten reliable info from whatever sources they have. They have question marks or unclears for everyone except Steven who they say makes the jury.
Also the Sydney/Carolina myspace thing I posted above - Carolina stated in her interviews after being voted out that Sydney/Spencer/Joe had a tight alliance. Although Sandy is supposedly going to go home pre-merge, it probably will not be any time soon because I'm following this logic:
1) Sydney goes pre-merge
2) The Jalapao tribe will need 4 votes to get rid of her and trump the S/S/J alliance
3) So the vote to eliminate Sydney (or one of her allies, likely Joe who also supposedly goes pre-merge) must include Sandy, otherwise, the opposition wouldn't be able to muster up enough votes
[quote=ssseeeaaann;50085]Also the Sydney/Carolina myspace thing I posted above - Carolina stated in her interviews after being voted out that Sydney/Spencer/Joe had a tight alliance. Although Sandy is supposedly going to go home pre-merge, it probably will not be any time soon because I'm following this logic:
1) Sydney goes pre-merge
2) The Jalapao tribe will need 4 votes to get rid of her and trump the S/S/J alliance
3) So the vote to eliminate Sydney (or one of her allies, likely Joe who also supposedly goes pre-merge) must include Sandy, otherwise, the opposition wouldn't be able to muster up enough votes[/quote]
That's fair enough logic, although I wouldn't put it past Survivor to have a tribe switch in the next couple of episodes (maybe they'll end up 6v6 or 7 v 5?), with Sydney, Joe, and Sandy on one side with 3 Timbiras. I see Sandy as being most likely to *quickly* jump ship to stay around longer and avoid a tie...I can see Spencer lasting much better with Taj and Stephen in a 3v3 situation (he seems very well-likable). They could also do a 4 v 2, which would completely eff over whoever's in the minority on either tribe.
That would make sense as to why Sydney and Joe go pre-merge, and why Timbira seems to have an upper hand going into the merge and with people going far. But I for some reason still want to put money on someone from the original Jalapao winning...I dunno, there's a ridiculous amount of speculation possible.
Okay so I didn't catch this, but I guess in tonight's episode, Coach said something about being bitten by a snake or something. Jeff Probst said on Ellen Degeneres the other day that 4 people are med-evaced because of snake bites but didn't differentiate how many were crew and how many were cast. But, Survivor does like that kind of foreshadowing editing, it could explain Coach's emanciated state in the post-game picture, and also there was an early spoiler from someone who previously gave credible information that "someone is attacked by a scorpion." So it could be likely that Coach has a poisonous animal encounter and is forced from the game.
I heard nothing about a snake bite in this week's episode. Where was it supposedly said?
There is a strong rumor going around that Coach is the one attacked by a scorpion. That definitely explains the dramatic weight loss...60lbs seems liks a LOT for 39 days, and most people only lose 20-30 lbs.
Here is the really interesting condemnation of coach from an interview he did with Andy Denhart at the beginning of Survivor taping.
[QUOTE]During our conversation in Brazil, Ben told me that he had not revealed where he was going. Instead, he lied his soccer team by telling them he was getting extensive tests for cancer—tests that would last two months. “I haven’t let the cat out of the bag. And I could and maybe should with my girls who think that I’m in a hospital somewhere dying, essentially,” he said. “I had some tests done on what they thought was a brain tumor, last year, but it wasn’t, but I did, so I told them I was going back in for testing. I said I’m going to have a lot of testing and evaluations; that was when I flew out there the first time, to L.A. So this time I said I’ve got to go back out, get some testing done, and be away for two months.”
Ben also told me that the “team is in shambles right now” because he left them without his presence. He also said, “I am phenomenal at manipulating people. … I manipulate my assistant coaches. My highest-paid assistant coach right now is getting $5,000 a year. I have a staff of six. It’s the biggest coaching staff in the NCAA. Nobody has six coaches. I have these girls come and pay $20,000 a year to come and play for my school and not give them a dime of scholarship, there’s others that I do. I’m awesome at manipulating.”[/QUOTE]
[url=http://www.realityblurred.com/realitytv/archives/survivor_tocantins/2009_Feb_24_taj_brendan_coach]reality blurred + Coach told different stories about leaving; will being wealthy hurt Taj, Brendan?[/url]
Andy is a genius at getting people to talk, and he is a friend of vevmo.
Wow. The fact that he is proud he can manipulate people into taking low salaries and get his team, that he should want the best for, to play without getting any scholarships is very telling. I would never want him as my coach. He seems like a guy that has the need for power in any way he can get it.
Couple things worth analyzing:
[URL="http://www.eonline.com/uberblog/watch_with_kristin/b103360_jeff_probsts_real-life_survivor_skills.html?sid=rss_topstories&utm_source=eonline&utm_medium=rssfeeds&utm_campaign=rss_topstories"]Jeff Probst on eonline[/URL]: "As for the current season of [I]Survivor[/I] (Tocantins), Jeff promises more twists and turns coming our way. "There's a record number of blindsides this year, which is always fun. There's more tribal councils where people don't know they're going home and get zapped than we ever had before." He also is excited about the final outcome.[B]"[We have] a really good finish, one of the best winners we've had in a really long time.""[/B]
Given his strong misogynist bias, the winner probably has *********. (In his Gabon blog, he stated "If we could dictate who would win each season, then the following people never would have won: Tina in Australia, Vecepia in Marquesas, that soft-core ***** dude in [I]Thailand,[/I] Jenna in the [I]Amazon,[/I] Sandra in [I]Pearl Islands[/I], Amber in [I]All-Stars[/I], Earl in [I]Fiji,[/I] and Parvati in [I]Fans vs Favorites" [/I]- That's 6 out of 7 female winners and only 2 of 9 males). My fear is that he's referring to Coach since he seems to have such a ****** for him. I know there are med-evac rumors on Coach, but it's still in the back of my mind that there is photographic evidence that he returned to the US less than 24 hours after completion of filming w/ full ****** hair.
Second, in one of [URL="http://tvwatch.people.com/2009/03/09/survivors-sandy-hef-shes-waiting-on-your-call/"]Sandy's interviews[/URL], she states "If the vote was done over, I think that Sydney would have been the one and I think in the next few episodes you'll see the regret." which alludes to the Jalapao losing streak - Joe and Sydney are not likely to make the merge. Sandy also has no qualms breaking contract and revealing info - she revealed on Facebook Thursday afternoon before the episode aired that she would be pre-jury, so I do take seriously what she says.
OK, so at least now we know that Joe is the player evacuated for medical reasons.
Here's the preview for next week:
"The Biggest Fraud In The Game" - An unlikely trio find themselves enjoying an epic reward together. Meanwhile, allies are left behind and become concerned that the reward will result in unplanned bonding with a common enemy, on SURVIVOR: TOCANTINS - THE BRAZILIAN HIGHLANDS, [U]Thursday, April 16[/U] (8:00-9:00 PM ET/PT) on the CBS Television Net
Since the trio is so unlikely, the reward challenges probably involves teams of 3, so there is a team winner, not an individual winner. Pre-screen shots show Taj and Tyson wearing red bandanas, Brendan wearing black, and Erinn wearing white. It also shows Debbie, Tyson, Stephen, JT, and Taj openly talking at camp, meaning they probably don't win and are speaking while the others are at their reward.
This leaves the "unlikely trio" as Brendan, Coach, and either Erinn or Sierra. The "common enemy" has to be Brendan after last episode. It obviously points to Brendan and Coach with their "who's got the bigger *****" thing going on, and Sierra and Erinn both fit right in considering they've been doing absolutely NOTHING. The reward would be the white-water rafting.
That also leads me to believe that whichever woman isn't on the trip is sent to Exile, as she's the only one left.
So I finally broke down and started reading the spoiler threads on survivorsucks.com, and they are speculating that Taj and JT will be in the Final 4.
[quote]So it is confirmed, JT and Taj make final four, because when it was showing what will come this season it showed a sky view of a spider challenge and it showed four stations, and it showed JT and Taj during that challenge. Taj sporting a black bandana and JT a green one. I am so excited for the rest of the season. And From that view when they are in the boat(assuming that is the final five) it looks like you can see Brendan's greyish blue shirt. So, Taj and JT confirmed for final four, and maybe Brendan for final five. I still hope Tyson wins though. [/quote]
[via [URL="http://www.survivorsucks.com/topic/48505/t/Final-Four-Challenge-Spider-Crawl.html"]survivorsucks] [/URL]
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Yeah, I saw that one too. I knew Taj at least made it to final 7 because that's usually the family episode and it shows Jeff with a big old smile on his face and Taj breaking down crying. Also reports were made that Debbie's husband went out of the country while she was on leave.
TrueDorkTimes usually, by around the jury phase, organizes a projected boot order list (and they usually have good sources). For this season they have Tyson being next to go, followed by Brendan, Sierra, Erin, Coach, Debbie, Taj, and Stephen & JT as the final 2.
I would love to see Stephen and JT as the final 2. That definitely goes with what Probst was saying as having one of the best winners ever. That'd be a hard final 2 though!
[quote=ssseeeaaann;59757]TrueDorkTimes usually, by around the jury phase, organizes a projected boot order list (and they usually have good sources). For this season they have Tyson being next to go, followed by Brendan, Sierra, Erin, Coach, Debbie, Taj, and Stephen & JT as the final 2.[/quote]
Where did you see that? I saw that they've projected Tyson to go next, but haven't seen any other projection lists.
[url=http://truedorktimes.com/survivor_tocantins/survivometer18.htm]TDT.com | Survivometer 18: Tocantins[/url] It doesn't expressedly say it, but the way they arrange the list by this point in the season indicates their believed boot order
Tyson next to go is kind of surprising to me. I figured he would at least be around past Erin and Sierra since his alliance with Coach and Debbie seems pretty strong. Individual immunity always seems to switch things up though! Also, the 2 idols floating around could give a blindside this week with Tyson if they try and vote out Brendan. I also would like a Stephen-JT final 2!
[quote=tatertots;59779]Tyson next to go is kind of surprising to me. I figured he would at least be around past Erin and Sierra since his alliance with Coach and Debbie seems pretty strong. Individual immunity always seems to switch things up though! Also, the 2 idols floating around could give a blindside this week with Tyson if they try and vote out Brendan. I also would like a Stephen-JT final 2![/quote]
Tyson's much more of a threat than Erinn and Debbie. I'd get rid of him while possible. The upcoming vote is probably going to be 5-4, with everyone flipping on Brendan, the next biggest physical threat, the next week.
JT reminds me of Colby...except who would be his Tina? Debbie?
I think if JT does get to the finals, that he still aligned with the right people (Tyson, Coach) who would vote for him over Debbie. That's also to say that Debbie makes it to the finals, which the spoilers project she won't but will come dangerously close.
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