I think you're right, there could be another name on the male side of the equation that might be interchangeable with Ty. My suspicions are raised.

As for the posts about Tyrie's it is quite hair raising and he could easily be placed just to cover up for somebody a bit more popular. How much incentive could they have to bring him back if he was the first to leave the Inferno, he left early on the Gauntlet, and isn't quite entertaining.

As for the sociogram:

Brooke could easily make it far due to her social activity and the fact that she is allianced with Jenn and Colie. It could take her far but she has a loud, and at times in-your-face attitude. This could easily make others want to send her home.

Tonya is now tied for the most challenges. This paints a huge target on her back because this makes her knowledgeable about the game and strategic. She doesn't have many foes on this season but doesn't have many friends either. If i remember she had problems with Robin because she supposedly had an affair with Mark, Robin's boyfriend. She isn't necessarily clear of drama. Plus her attitude is always a problem with others.

the next challenge is definitely duel format....the grapevine just informed me

confirmed is EV

ORLY?

Does that mean the next challenge is going to be the duel 2? Or is that just going to be the format of a brand new challenge??

You stole my response!
I am currently not entertaining this theory, although if there is evidence I'd love to see it.

I know, I have been waiting patiently for my chance to use it since I just learned it thanks to you guys

OK, here is what the instruction books says: "Some analysis required"

"Definitely duel format" -- Presumably this means "The Duel II." Immediate evidence to the contrary is that BMP does not convey the challenge format to the cast, therefore the leak must be from crew or someone associated with handful of MTV executives who approved the concept or those at BMP who have been working on it. There are no cases in recent memory where any of these people leak such info. Further, since we know with certainty that Beth is not on the challenge, having the next challenge as "The Duel II" would mean that BMP/MTV were going back on their word to Beth regarding her certain participation in any future challenge with that title. It would be a tremendous breach for that to happen. At the end of the day, I've always found the execs at BMP to be honorable. Thus the following syllogism applies, assuming BMP did not lie regarding the first factual posit:

- Beth will be cast on any challenge called "The Duel II'
- Beth is not in the cast on the next challenge
- The next challenge is not "The Duel II"

"Grapevine informed me" -- The implication here is the The Godfather's source is not first-hand, but rather something passed from one to another to at least a third party. While I might confide in a good friend some information that came my way from one source, I would never post anything without the confidence of at least two sources unless the only source was the actual creator of the information in the first instance.

"confirmed is Eve" -- This is something one named potential cast member has said to several people; however, I'm not aware of any basis in fact for the statement. It's not surprising that the idea has finally taken on a life of its own.